I guess I am an idiot skeptic ... I have lived in flood zones before, but we drive past L I about 2 - 3 times a month, and i guess looks MUST be deceiving, because that lake looks like a dried-up raisin to me, what IS the estimated amount of water IN the lake, would Oildale flood?  (i am too busy/lazy to look at the virtual maps)

The hydraulic effect of that much water coming out of the mouth of the canyon will be INSANE----

Streets will be clogged--phones jammed--mass hysteria..TOO MANY people to move in too short of time---

I'm getting our Emergancy Rations and equipment and putting them on top of the roof--(it's flat up there)--dog--the Mrs. and all the water we can store in any container---

And my sign when the helicopters fly over to drop V-8 Spicy Tomato Juice and Beer---we can wait--we're cool here...

Don't forget when the water goes through Kern River Oil Fields and orchards--and makes its way to the Aquaduct--L.A. water supply is Screwed---so will be ours....

Ling ~ you and my hubby will get along great, so save a Tomato Beer for him, we will be seeing ya on the roof !

These evacuation 'Planners' must realize that these people here will NOT believe it until they see it--then its too late---

Foodmax--30 pack beer---$13.00---watching the flood from the roof-drunk...priceless...

LOL I like how you think Ling!

Funny it looks like the people in the Southwest Zone on the PPT file are being sent in to the center of Lake Kern were the water from the Kern river used to flow to?

so...are these maps using the idea that the lake would be near full capacity...or have they used the 20% full numbers they have kept the lake level at since they found that fault?

Perfect Question Learnem ... that is what i was wondering...

I'd imagine at peak levels~ I am close to hwy 99 but the plan has me heading east on Brundage ~ according to the map into the path of heavier water....of course I'll be walking (no car) so it's the roof for me.  Luckily I am agile. ;-)

What are the green circles on the evacuation maps?  Why is there no legend or key for these maps or major street names on the map showing the flood innundation?  Is the predicted flood plain assuming both dams failures?

Better maps are at the county's site where you can overlay the flood water with the street names.

flak,

As the original post states these are preliminary versions of the maps culled from a power-point presentation delivered Tuesday.

Better versions, probably with those legends and keys you want, will be developed by OES once the evacuation plan has been approved by the city.

What your overlay map doesn't have are the recommended evacuation routes out of the city.

I'm not going to worry too much until the drought ends.

In any case, I don't think we'll see Isabella get anywhere near as full as it used to be.  AC of E will make sure of that.

jburger

Off topic

In the picture at the top of the page, is that a hat you're  wearing or your hair.   I wonder about it each time I click on one of your blogs.

You hit on the biggest point Audrey. Until the dam is full, the risk of a failure happening is minimal.

And, if it did, Bakersfield would be far less flooeded that the worst case mapping estimates.

It's my hair. I have a lot.

I live on the east side, just a couple of blocks south of Panorama Drive, east of Garces HS. Looks like I’ll be high and dry if the big flood were to happen.

Everybody bring a tent and sleeping bag, and ya’ll can hang out till the water recedes.

Ling can bring the beer!

...I'll bring the tin-foil hats.

We're above the flood plain as well.  Anyone who can't make it to Don's can come over here, although something tells me you'll all go to Ling's.   

i have seen the dam filled up and the lake covering part of 178 =]