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bakosphere - > Bakosphere -> So who's ahead, Clinton or Obama?
So who's ahead, Clinton or Obama?

Bakersfield.com blogger FreeCognate urges nomination watchers to go back for another round of popcorn. And politicsanyone wonders if democrats are shooting themselves in the foot.

After two major wins in Ohio and Texas (and a third win in little Rhode Island) yesterday, democratic presidential hopeful Hillary Clinton seems to have made a leap forward. Barack Obama won just Vermont.

But the size of Obama's lead didn't change despite Clinton's triumphs. CNN.com shows, combining pledged delegates and superdelegates, Obama has 1,515 total and Clinton has 1,424. That's a lead of 91.

The candidates started yesterday with Obama ahead by 102. A candidate needs 2,025 to win the democratic nomination.

So the gap seems to be inching closer, but both candidates are still in a very hot race. They will battle in Wyoming Saturday, then in Mississippi Tuesday and Pennsylvania on April 22. Ten more states have primaries in May and June. How long will this thing drag out? And who's going to ultimately win?

Want to decide yourself? Take a stab at these online games:

Forbes Delegate Counter

CNN's delegate counter game
 

Posted in these Groups:
Topics: Politics, democratic nomination, primaries, election, Hillary Clinton, barack obama, blogs, blogging
posted by bakosphere on Wednesday, March 5, 2008 at 09:13 AM
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posted by randomfactor on Mar 5, 2008 at 09:24 AM

 Obama's ahead.  He'll win again this weekend and Tuesday.

posted by randomfactor on Mar 5, 2008 at 09:29 AM

 I'd vote for that ticket, or the other way 'round.  But Clinton's got to start running *AGAINST* McCain, not with him.

posted by MeghanBrooks on Mar 5, 2008 at 10:26 AM

 Even after Texas and Ohio, I still think Obama is going to win. UNFORTUNATELY. Hopefully this will be the only year I have to vote for a republican, and the only year I'm actually glad that Ralph Nader will be there to take votes away from the democratic candidate.


posted by TomW on Mar 5, 2008 at 10:42 AM

 Katatak, I doubt that very much.  I think more likely that Obama's people got a bit complacent and Hillary put everything she had into Tuesday.  She keeps coming out by the skin of her teeth, but I think the map goes to Obama going forward.


posted by TomW on Mar 5, 2008 at 10:44 AM

 Meghan, who would you like to have seen on the Democratic side?


posted by randomfactor on Mar 5, 2008 at 10:45 AM

Hillary went into debt for Texas/Ohio, frittered away a huge early lead, had a last-minute assist from McCain's campaign (via Canada on the NAFTA smear), went negative and *STILL* only picked up ten delegates. 

.

FWIW, I hope Obama's forgiving and still offers her the veep slot.

posted by Katatak on Mar 5, 2008 at 10:51 AM

My analysis of the media is the same as Bill Clinton's was in Nevada- the media template changed to Hillary in disarray and Obama the golden boy. I didn't matter if I opened my NY Times, WP, USA Today or turned on ABC, CBS, NBC and CNN it was the same template across the board.

Hillary is winning in spite of the media portrayals.

Very strange stuff and the outcome could be even stranger.

posted by Linda_Alvarado on Mar 5, 2008 at 11:16 AM

 If Clinton wins the Democratic nomination, McCain will be president.

If Obama wins, the race will be tight, but I think we will have our first black president.

You hear a lot of hue and cry over dirty politics, but as long as dirty politics works, we will have dirty politics.  It would be nice if we had independent thinkers instead of spin followers going to the polls.

posted by randomfactor on Mar 5, 2008 at 11:20 AM

 Why strange, Katatak?  McCain won *BECAUSE* of the media portrayals.

posted by gube on Mar 5, 2008 at 11:20 AM

 I don't know..but i wouldn't count Hillary out just yet.

This is politics and anything can and probably will happen. 

posted by catpaw on Mar 6, 2008 at 07:36 AM

 Clinton has her good points. Unfortunately, taking her at her word--my trust--isn't one of them. I don't see a Clinton/Obama ticket (or other way around). Neither is about to settle for "second place" in a do-nothing office.

posted by ChicoEsquela on Mar 6, 2008 at 07:47 AM

 Wife's votin fer HRC  (says she can't abide BO gettin' in there. thinks he's an empty suited con man who appeals to "educated imbeciles")

I swear its gonna cause us ta split

She hates McCain

Calls him a geriatric midget

I even had her watch the "McCain History" thingy the other night, replete with the Forestall incident, shot down over Hanoi and beat by NVA types, etc.....

Her response?  <yawn> "Still don't like him...." <yawn>

Wermen! Can't live with em and can't grind em up fer feed..................

 

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