Real Name: Tom Webster Gender: male Member Since: August 14, 2006 Last Signed In: May 10, 2008 Profile Views: 10726 Blog Views: 11656 Bush Announces The End of the Surge McCain Breaks His Own Laws McCain's Idea of Love Unofficial "Bloggers' Brunch" at Dagny's Saturday Republican State Parties in Disarray Publican's Political Genius I did not have sexual relations with that woman! Amazing Obama Video Nevada Caucus and South Carolina Primary Michigan Primary Today August 06 September 06 October 06 November 06 December 06 January 07 February 07 March 07 April 07 May 07 June 07 July 07 August 07 September 07 October 07 November 07 December 07 January 08 February 08 March 08 April 08 May 08 
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Michigan Primary Today
Voters are at the polls across Michigan as we speak, casting their votes in that state's primary. There's a bit of strangeness in this primary so we'll go over the oddities first.
First, while the Democratic Primary is being held today, the state Democrats have been stripped of their delegates as punishment for moving their primary forward. In response to and support of that, Edwards and Obama have pulled their names off the ballot so even though the Democratic Primary is today, Clinton is the only major candidate on the ballot. Which brings us to the second point: Michigan has an open primary which means that people can request a ballot from any party and can vote in either primary. How this will play out is anyone's guess, so here's mine: Huckabee is going to show strongly here. His supporters don't need wall-to-wall coverage to know it's election day. McCain gets a big boost because he won't be competing with Democrats for the independants. Romney is the hometown hero, the prodigal son. All this in the mix plus the polls I'll post below, I'm gonna hand it to Romney by less than 5. Sorry, having table issues. You can see the original here: http://www.presidentpolls20... McCain & nbsp; Romney & nbsp; &n bsp; Huckabee ; Giuliani ; Paul &nb sp;
18 comments from 9 users
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posted by
montfred
on Jan 15, 2008 at 12:39 PM
I'm taking McCain by less than 5 %WXYZ-TV (Detroit) is reporting in their last poll that 10 % of republican voters were still undecided, and they are expecting only a 20% turn out of voters because of weather. Going to be a nail biter, as you hinted. posted by
TomW
on Jan 15, 2008 at 12:46 PM
I can see that. I think Huckabee will outperform polling, but I don't think he's got a chance. The models are pretty useless on this one though and I think most of the smart pundits are staying clear of this after NH.
posted by
robbwillis
on Jan 15, 2008 at 02:00 PM
Is Michigan a big evangelical state like Iowa? If not, Huckabee won't do that well.
posted by
adampayne
on Jan 15, 2008 at 02:15 PM
The entire western half of Michigan is evangelical. With the continued evacuation of Detroit by the luckless and broke, the state is being quickly transformed into a depression era collection of small outposts favoring extreme points of view.
posted by
robbwillis
on Jan 15, 2008 at 02:34 PM
Thanks Adam, Primary forecast and list of possible places to live adjusted accordingly. posted by
TomW
on Jan 15, 2008 at 06:23 PM
They've called it for Romney. Looks like my "pundit" credentials are in danger. Maybe not though, if his margin holds.Right now Romney 40%, McCain 30%, Huckabee 15% posted by
montfred
on Jan 15, 2008 at 07:20 PM
Good call Tom, I am very surprised by the early results, I guess they want 4 more years of GWB.
posted by
mattloch
on Jan 15, 2008 at 11:41 PM
posted by
TSM
on Jan 16, 2008 at 07:36 AM
Mitt Romney's victory in Michigan was a defeat for authenticity in politics. The former Massachusetts governor pandered to voters, distorted his opponents' record and continued to show why he's the most malleable — and least credible — major presidential candidate. And it worked. http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/...
posted by
TomW
on Jan 16, 2008 at 07:58 AM
Montfred, in all honesty, the main reason I was calling it for Romney is that it was do-or-die for his campaign. Everyone in the state knew if Romney didn't win he'd be out, much like people thought about Hillary in NH. It brings out every last supporter.Now, anyone want to try to call SC and Nevada? posted by
ChicoEsquela
on Jan 16, 2008 at 08:28 AM
right TSM he must have stolen the playbook from Hillary (and Bill) posted by
TomW
on Jan 16, 2008 at 08:45 AM
Chico, it's been 7 years since Clinton was President. Get over it.
posted by
TSM
on Jan 16, 2008 at 09:20 AM
Chico, it's been 7 years since Clinton was President. Get over it. Chico's life is obviously too empty and hollow for him to get over it. Why else would he spend so much time and energy on the Californian's blogs? 52 comments yesterday alone. And that doesn't count the number of posts he made in his own blogs.
posted by
ChicoEsquela
on Jan 16, 2008 at 11:15 AM
look who's counting pathetic posted by
ChicaEsquela
on Jan 16, 2008 at 11:46 AM
Yes TSM he like to beat people over the head with his shallow remarks. Chico is the typical conservative. Must be nice to not have to work. Why is that? Corporate welfare?
posted by
TSM
on Jan 16, 2008 at 11:52 AM
Must be nice to not have to work. Why is that? Corporate welfare? The same social welfare system he complains about. Conservatives are hypocrites in that way.
posted by
ChicaEsquela
on Jan 16, 2008 at 11:55 AM
And chico is the quintessential hypocrite.
posted by
murphyslaw
on Jan 16, 2008 at 12:33 PM
Bill's new position for the White House.
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