Three weeks out from Iowa and there's a lot of action in the polls.  Obama pulled out the big guns this weekend and got 40,000 people to a rally in Iowa by holding an event with Oprah.  He's gaining in all the polls where he's not already ahead and Clinton and Edwards can't break through in the national media.  As of now, Obama looks to be leading in Iowa and South Carolina and is back by 3 in New Hampshire.  An Iowa win may cinch every early state for him.

On the Republican side, Mike Huckabee is running away with it and some polls have him up by over 20 points.  Of course, with the attention comes more scrutiny and we'll see if the news about his past and record takes him down or if he stays up.  He'll probably still lose New Hampshire to Romney but he's already up in South Carolina.  What's ineresting is that Giuliani is nowhere to be found and is running 3rd to 5th in most states.

In the general, I'm still betting Obama vs. Romney despite the Huckabee surge.  I'm also  ready to move Huckabee to the top spot next week and I'm only holding off because his negatives are just coming out.

Where are you this week and what do you see coming?

It's hard to believe after only a year of campaigning and mudslinging, rampant fighting etc. that we've survived to this point.  With the first primary in a month, let's throw some thoughts out there on who's going to win this thing.

Full disclosure: I'm an Edwards supporter, so if I bump him higher than you think he should be, call that an inherent bias.

On the Democratic side:

Obama is looking really good and about where he needs to be.  If he can pull Iowa, I think he'll take the thing in a walk.  If Clinton takes Iowa and New Hampshire, she's got it.  As for Edwards, he's got some game in Iowa and might take it, but if he doesn't pull New Hampshire and South Carolina after that, he's still toast.

On the Republican side:

Everyone loves Huckabee.  He's surging in the polls for a number of reasons but I can't tell if this is a sea change or just another Fred-Thompson-style rush.  He's also got the advantage of being the sole Republican frontrunner who doesn't invite a third party run from the Christian right.  Giuliani is slipping along with Clinton, Romney is holding up and Thompson and McCain are bringing up the last of the pack.  I think it's going to be Romney in the early states and Huckabee close behind.

In the general, I'm going to say it ends up Romney vs. Obama.  Obama wins in the general, margin highly dependant on VP choices and third parties.