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Big West Big Loss What's Your Take?
Well, this refinery closure has been brewing and stewing for quite some time. I have my own personal opinion on why the refinery is being forced to close. I believe the major oil companies want it gone to drive up prices. We currently see with this severe economic downturn much less usage of gasoline and oil related products. The Washington Post just reported today that oil prices for light sweet crude, not the Bakersfield stuff of heavy and sour, have dropped to just over $41 a barrell. This inconceivable price, from the projections of $200 per barrell just nine months ago, tells the real story of why this refinery is being shut down in our global economy. This is about restricting the amount of product being refined to drive up falling prices. This is a cartel acting in collusion against the best interests of the people dependent on jobs and fuel supply. What do you think? 38 comments from 16 users
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posted by
Btowntv007
on Jan 29, 2009 at 01:23 PM
posted by
learnem
on Jan 29, 2009 at 01:28 PM
posted by
siouxcityranch
on Jan 29, 2009 at 01:35 PM
not inconceivable at all Adam...I hope they catch shell with holding to promo their northern plant...those kind of games need to be nipped in the bud before they become even more common place than they already are. Its been years since i worked there as a contract electrician but that was a great bunch of people even back then.. I grew-up in Rosedale watching them stack gas back when you could see it from calloway and meacham by lookin across the miles of alfalfa fields....to drive by and watch it sit idle like the PG&E plant wasn't something I ever expected in my lifetime...not as long as everyone drove gas powered vehicles anyway. posted by
AudreyB
on Jan 29, 2009 at 01:50 PM
posted by
JustAThought
on Jan 29, 2009 at 02:19 PM
I am personally glad they will no longer be polluting our air. I was fed up with their constant hiding of plant accidents. (Hydrofluoric acid leaks.)
posted by
NancyII
on Jan 29, 2009 at 02:52 PM
Yup. lets shut down all the refneries. Then maybe Detroit will figure out a way to run cars off of all the hot air produced by blogs..
posted by
NancyII
on Jan 29, 2009 at 03:13 PM
posted by
CassandraMcGowan
on Jan 29, 2009 at 03:13 PM
missashie, you need to calm down on the name calling hun. and get YOUR facts straight. only HALF the people that blog on this site are ignorant, uninformed idiots. lol :) posted by
CassandraMcGowan
on Jan 29, 2009 at 03:15 PM
oh and for anyone who says they are "happy" about the closing... you won't be when it takes you even longer to get a job and unemployment rates skyrocket another 10% because like 500 people lost their jobs. no one should ever be happy about people losing their financial lives. that is just wrong. posted by
adampayne
on Jan 29, 2009 at 03:37 PM
Dear MissAshie83, I think everyone here thus far knows that Flying J and its susidiary Big West are refiners and not the major oil companies. At least I hope everyone understands the difference. Big West cannot do business if the oil providers refuse to ship them oil to refine. I have heard a bunch of crazy talk regarding the new refining process, and the local governments disappointment and anger over failed notification of leaks and emissions of toxins as being a possible reason for going into bankruptcy. I believe this to be bunk for the move into bankruptcy. The closure is alarming coming after years worth of expansion discussions and hopes for a better partnership between the refinery and the city. I still believe that the major oil companies, and specifically Shell as the driver, want a reduction in refinery capacity to drive up the price of gasoline. For years the argument over the lack of refineries has centered on the refusal of those wacky environmentalists to compromise, and to allow companies the ability to refine and process without threat of litigation over pollution levels. If the oil industry had its way there would no worker safety protections and no pollution standards to worry about, which is why these companies abandoned America and sought to drill overseas. What I believe has happened is that the oil companies, just like our formerly great steel industry, want less to make more. It is the inherent problem with unregulated capitalism where ultimate profit is the only real driver in the equation. For a real fun story about the oil business There Will Be Blood has no peer. Sorry you find us all uninformed idiots. Here's hoping you reconsider. posted by
drilnliftcrude
on Jan 29, 2009 at 05:44 PM
The labor contract for most USW represented work forces in the oil industry ends Saturday night and, from everything I've heard, the negotiations have been tough. Management says the economy is bad so there isn't any money for good wage and benefit increases. The Union says the companies have been flush with cash from the boom of the last couple of years while holding the membership to the terms of their contracts, and now it's time for their slice of that pie. I don't know if this is the case with the Big West workers, but it doesn't help in dispelling the suspicion's of the conspiracy theorists. posted by
drilnliftcrude
on Jan 29, 2009 at 06:42 PM
Oh wow, man. I didn't know that CARB was involved in the conspiracy. posted by
zapped
on Jan 29, 2009 at 07:36 PM
Out of genuine curiosity and some ignorance, can someone tell me if it's true that Big West hasn't been able to pay for it's oil recently. I heard they've been running idle and no one will ship to them because they can't pay. Can anyone here in the industry explain what's going on? As for the person glad that's it's closing down, don't expect the air quality to get much better as a result. But you can bet gas is going to go up and yet another hit to the local unemployment numbers are going to ripple it's way to you. posted by
siouxcityranch
on Jan 29, 2009 at 08:28 PM
MissAshie Get your facts straight before you post on here, supposedly THINKING you know what you're talking about! I don't know guys..hmm early twenty's hasn't learned much about life yet?? Maybe she doesn't understand that by not supplying product the refinery can't make money there by creating debt to force closure. Thus the oil company (in this case Shell) no longer has the competition from Big West.. Course you need to forgive me cause I'm just speakin from an ignorant point of view..and the investigation phhttt such a waste of time..I think the government owes MissAshie83 an apology for being so stupid to even think it warrants their attention. posted by
ronmexico
on Jan 29, 2009 at 09:42 PM
When Flying J filed for bankruptcy in December, they owed oil producers millions of dollars for the oil that had been previously purchased. They normally buy oil month to month, with the payment for the crude due on the 20th or so of each month. So, if they bought 50000 bpd for the month of July, on Aug 20, they would have to write a check for that oil. Which means they are paying anywhere from 20 to 50 days after reciept of the oil. Those were the terms, agreeable by both parties. When Flying J did not have the money to pay their bills, (not only the Big West bills, but other obligations as well because of the credit crunch), and they did not have time to sell assets (truck stops, equipment, whatever) to pay for the bills, they filed bankruptcy. This meant that they did not have to pay for any outstanding bills prior to the bankruptcy filing. The bankruptcy court would determine who would be paid for their debts and how much, and when, considering the plan the company comes up with for restructuring. In filing Chapter 11, it allows the company to keep operating, however, this doesn't mean the suppliers have to agree to the pre-bankruptcy terms and conditions of sale. IF you are an oil company, why in your right mind would you sell oil to Flying J under the same terms?? Instead of them paying you up to 50 days after reciept, wouldn't you want your money up front?? I sure would, especially if I might not get paid for oil I have already delivered. And this is what is happening. Oil companies are saying if you want crude, here are the terms. I don't know what the terms are, but it is basically pay in advance for the oil. That is just the way the game is played. There is nothing anti competitive about this. If you can't pay your bills, don't expect to get crude in the door and not have to pay for it till next month. They simply don't have the cash flow, or credit to pay for crude up front. 50000 bbl/day for a month is $45 million dollars just for crude. Not to mention other expenses that vendors want paid for up front. As much as I hate to say it, I don't think Shell is the villain here. Shell doesn't have to sell them a drop of oil. Shell doesn't have to let them use their pipeline if they won't live by the terms of sale. If a pipeline is that critical to the operation, then Big West needs to build one. You can't force companies to do business with other companies that do not pay their bills. posted by
ronmexico
on Jan 29, 2009 at 09:51 PM
What I believe has happened is that the oil companies, just like our formerly great steel industry, want less to make more. It is the inherent problem with unregulated capitalism where ultimate profit is the only real driver in the equation. Adam Payne You are so full of [edit.] it is coming out your ears. Unregulated capitalism my [edit.]. It took Big West over 3 years to jump thru the regulatory hoops to get their permits. Don't tell me about unregulated capitalism. The regulatory agencies don't even know what is required regarding notifications. They make up guidance as they go. 1 cup of ammonia spilled in the refinery results in state investigations, yet 500 lbs spills in Buttonwillow and nothing is made of it. Air regulations involving process heaters passed just last year probably would have been the death nail of that refinery even if they had not gone into bankruptcy. It would take about 3 months to run a pipeline from Kern River to the Refinery, IF there WAS unregulated capitalism. However, the reality is it would take probably 3 years to get the permits to run a simple 8 mile long pipeline. Not telling how long once all the inevitable lawsuits would be resolved. Lots of other refineries of this size have shutdown over the last decade, and it has not been because of unregulated capitalism. Try again, Adam
posted by
ronmexico
on Jan 29, 2009 at 09:56 PM
As a side note, one might ask why Bank Of America will not extend Big West credit to purchase oil. Didn't B of A get federal money to keep the credit markets open???? Maybe Big West should call up Obama and the House Democrats and tell them they would like 45 million to buy some condoms.... posted by
woofwoof
on Jan 29, 2009 at 09:58 PM
Well, even though its for sale, I bet Shell won't buy it either. Then they'd REALLY look guilty, now wouldn't they? Do you all think it'll close completely? Will someone step in to stop it? I do hope Shell receives some backlash from all this politcal hooey. My husband works there, and I'm scared spitless. I was hoping he'd be a lifer there. He's worked out there for YEARS, first as a contractor then he got hired on when Big West took it over. If he loses this job, next, it'll be our house, I'm so very scared and worried. posted by
ronmexico
on Jan 29, 2009 at 10:19 PM
I am not sure what Shell has done to make them guilty. I don't think they supplied them with crude anyway. They did ship other companies crude thru their line, but that wasn't done for free. Now they are just asking for their money up front. Big West deserves some blame. They don't know how to run a refinery. How do you justify hundreds of millions of dollars in equipment sitting in the dirt? Why was that equipment purchased before they had approval to expand?? Plus, the parent company apparently spent money like drunken sailors and bought an albatross of a pipeline in Texas that has sucked them dry of money. Again, what has Shell done?? BIg West screwed the pooch on this one... posted by
ronmexico
on Jan 29, 2009 at 10:39 PM
I am wounded, but I am not slain. I shall lay me down and rest a while, and then I will rise and fight again. -Anonymous. Everything will be all right. Ron Mexico. posted by
Shwaine
on Jan 29, 2009 at 11:37 PM
I just hope during this shutdown and sale that all the hazardous chemicals have been properly stored and are being actively monitored for leaks (or theft, I could see someone trying that). posted by
sagefever
on Jan 30, 2009 at 01:16 AM
Woof~ I be thinking positively for you and all those others directly effected. Money is usually at the root of things. And There Will Be Blood is an excellent look into the early days of oil production and the very dark heart of one human being. "I am done".
posted by
casooner90
on Jan 30, 2009 at 07:21 AM
The first few posts got this blog totally off of kilt. Talk of collusion, unregulated capitalism, evil oil companies... Ron, appreciate you setting this straight. Your explanation is most logical and devoid of paranoid. Adam, you are totally off on this. If you truly believe that the oil companies are squeezing out Big West to drive up the cost, you should call the feds - or buy stock and get rich quick. I know that the oil companies are an easy target for your ignorant (ignorant of petroleum industry) dribble, but this is blog is an absolute farce. With all the regulations, enviormentalist frenzy and general public ignorance, we will have another structure on the Rosedale highway that will serve as an eye sore for years to come. Bakersfield, you've done it again. posted by
woofwoof
on Jan 30, 2009 at 07:22 AM
posted by
adampayne
on Jan 30, 2009 at 10:43 AM
Thanks for the lesson in German, Ron. I see someone decided to make an edit to your colorful descriptor of my thinking process. I am not sure why responses to the question I posed, or to my written opinions here, needs to take on some personal attack. I appreciate your viewpoint regarding Big West's supposed inexperience with refinery operations, although as has been pointed out in a variety of stories their Utah operation seems to be doing fine. Maybe they did fail on their own by a series of bad decisions, and a credit squeeze they had no control over. I have worked in places where a sudden correction to contracted credit terms were pulled and the fallout was severe. The question here is that we have a $700 million expansion plan for a plant and operation that was viable just a few months ago, but now sees this same organization battered into closure here locally. Its collapse had nothing to do with any environmental pressure or pollutant oversight, casooner90. The major refineries have made good money in this state for a long time. I will refer you to a series of articles that appeared three years ago in the Los Angeles Times about the peculiarities of the gasoline business here in California. Part A. Part B. Part C. You don't have to agree with, or believe a word in these articles, but they do give a detailed look at our gasoline situation here in California. There has been over the past two decades a tremendous amount of merger and acquisition activity in the oil industry with downstream partnerships forged to lessen costs and improve margins and efficiencies due to scale. All of this has occurred with the understanding that huge capital investments are part of the business and some latitude should be given to those making these investments and to allow for fair profit on their improvements. Latitude did not mean maximizing profit at the expense of the health and welfare of the citizens in this country or to make record sums of money while the population suffers and goes broke. Exxon-Mobil just announced yet another year of record profits with earnings for 2008 hitting $45.2 billion. Chevron also announced that its fourth quarter earnings were $4.9 billion, although revenue was down 26% from the previous year's quarter. The supermajors still control more than 50% of all refining in America. That is down from the high point in the late 1980s when this group controlled more than 70% of refining in the US. Supplies are on the rise today. Here is a report from RTE Business out of Dublin Ireland: The US government's Energy Information Administration (EIA) said today that crude reserves jumped 6.2 million barrels in the week to January 23, which was more than double market expectations and indicated weaker demand. It is speculation at this time as to the actual causes of the recent closure. The companies involved are always reticent to speak and details always seem to come out many years after the fact. I guess we'll find out over time.
posted by
ronmexico
on Jan 30, 2009 at 11:31 AM
The question here is that we have a $700 million expansion plan for a plant and operation that was viable just a few months ago, but now sees this same organization battered into closure here locally. What makes you think it was viable when it even began?? Just because you get permits to expand, doesn't mean it is a profitable venture. The Salt Lake Refinery is an unsophisticated tea kettle. They also have some of their own crude to feed it. And, they don't have many major competitors. Have you read the paper?? Even some analyst have said Flying J and nobody that knew how to run refineries. There is no conspiracy here. THey shot themselves in the head. Exxon-Mobil just announced yet another year of record profits with earnings for 2008 hitting $45.2 billion. Their profit margin is 10%. They make 10 cents profit on every dollar of sales. You call that excessive?? In the quarter ending in September, Exxon made 14.8 billion in profit. The government got a check for 11.3 billion for taxes. Now you tell me who is doing the screwing... posted by
alexlvr
on Jan 30, 2009 at 11:35 AM
Hi Adam, I just posted my own blog on this story (didn't see yours). I have read many of your posts in the past and know that you are a very informed individual. However, this time, some of your theories are incorrect. Ronmexico has made the most accurate statements. He obviously works in the refinery. If others would like to view my blog, I have posted the phone numbers of all of our representatives. That is a proactive thing to do for all of the posters to your blog . It takes very little time. Having spoken to those at offices of McCarthy, Feinstein, Boxer, Ashburn, Fuller, and Supervisor Watson....I KNOW that they are encouraging calls. At this point, it is difficult to say what government intervention could be done....but they were all surely interested. They don't want us to lose that refinery and would love to see it bought or partnered with a major oil company. The bottom line is that Big West got in way over its head buying large amounts of oil at high prices. The price of gas plummeted and they are stuck holding the bag. Bank of America called in its line of credit early...and Chapter 11 resulted. If Big West produced its own oil in the valley, it would have been ok. It does have some oil production in Utah. That is one of the reasons why that refinery is OK. Additionally, they were able to renew contracts in Utah two days after the Chapter 11 filing. At this point, the Bakersfield Refinery is an albatross around Big West's (and ultimately Flying J's) neck. I think they would love to find a buyer. That buyer would need to have its own production, however. That is the only way to offset this crazy fluctuating market. And finding that buyer will be difficult......even though the refinery is a known money maker....and it has millions of dollars of equipment at hand to build an already approved improvement project. If that project is completed, it has the potential to make a bucketload of profit for the refinery. Again, it is a wait and see situation. While you're sitting....pick up that phone and make some calls! Oh....and to comment on what Shell has to feel guilty about is their claim that the reason they needed to sell the refinery was because it was not profitable. That is so untrue. That masked their true reasons. But then, that is a whole other topic. CALL Barbara Boxer (559) 497-5109 Contact person I spoke with: Ameen Khan Diane Feinstein (559) 485-7430 & nbsp; District Director: Shelly A. Jean Fuller: 395-3883 Roy Ashburn: 323-0443 (if get lost in automated system...call Sacramento) & nbsp; District Director Sacramento: Ken Devore (916) 651-4018Kevin McCarthy--327-3611 & nbsp; Ray Watson (District 4 Supervisor) 868-3680 Kern County Board of Supervisors General phone number 1115 Truxtun Avenue, 5th Floor Bakersfield, CA 93301 (661) 868-3601 board@co.kern.ca.us
posted by
learnem
on Jan 30, 2009 at 11:45 AM
not only is the refining process super expensive, take a look at what CARB, and San Joaquin Valley Air District are doing to refineries in the Valley. its a wonder any of them are still around. All this government regulation is killing the taxpayer financially, while we as a nation, just signed on for at least 4 more years of it
ufffff posted by
adampayne
on Jan 30, 2009 at 11:47 AM
When you read articles like the following from Bloomberg.com you have to shake your head in wonder over this refinery's closure. This week Conoco Phillips announced the largest loss in their history this week, a whopping $31.8 billion. This was an acounting loss on "costs recorded to reflect a decline in the value of acquired assets." Royal Dutch Shell also posted its first loss in ten years at $2.81 billion. posted by
alexlvr
on Jan 30, 2009 at 12:09 PM
Hmm.. this didn't show up the last time I tried to post it.
If anyone would like to view my blog on this subject. The link is http://people.bakersfield.c... My aim is to have people post serious questions and report personal experiences. This is all in an effort to give support to those affected in our community. Thanks again, Adam! posted by
ronmexico
on Jan 30, 2009 at 12:40 PM
posted by
adampayne
on Jan 30, 2009 at 01:29 PM
Ron, oh please! Yes. Profit, as rule for both net and gross, has nothing to do with taxes. Earnings subtracts taxes, as well as all the operational costs and costs of goods to get the total. So what is your point? I am still troubled that the oil supermajors can earn huge amounts of money from refining, but this facility cannot. I am troubled that all of a sudden with oil futures dropping no product, credit or former contracted terms were going to be available to Big West and Flying J. I find the issue problematic, and still have a lot of questions over this sudden bankruptcy and closure. posted by
alexlvr
on Jan 30, 2009 at 01:38 PM
Adam. The majors produce their own oil! They don't have to pay top dollar to another oil producer to get ALL of their oil supply. posted by
NancyII
on Jan 30, 2009 at 01:42 PM
posted by
ronmexico
on Jan 30, 2009 at 03:34 PM
I am still troubled that the oil supermajors can earn huge amounts of money from refining, but this facility cannot. Cause the supermajors have people that know how to run refineries. Flying J's experience is in running truck stops. Supermajors don't commit to equipment purchases when they don't have permits. Flying J did. The major California refineries are laughing at the HF alky sitting in the dirt over there. I don't think there is a plant manager anywhere in California that would even think of building and HF Alky in California. But Flying J thought otherwise and not only tried to get it permitted, but actually had the equipment fabricated. I don't think Flying J knows what Project Risk Analysis is. If it hadn't been for liberals screaming about monopoly, this could have been a Chevron refinery, one of the best refining companies in the world. When Chevron bought Texaco, the GOVERNMENT MADE them divest this refinery and sell it to Shell. Shell NEVER wanted this refinery. It was never in Shells business plan to have small, landlocked refineries. Their business model is to have very large, highly integrated, deep water port refineries. Don't blame Shell for the problems. Blame the regulators that won't put enough water in the Kern River to bring in supertankers... posted by
adampayne
on Jan 30, 2009 at 05:23 PM
Liberals had nothing to do with the divestitures that had to take place regarding the merger between Texaco and Chevron back in 1998. Congress was firmly Republican at the time, and courts along with non-partisan regulating agencies like the FTC made the call. Is the Federal Trade Commission a liberal organization in your eyes, Ron? The points you make in your last post are all valid ones, and if you had read any of the links I supplied on an earlier post of mine you would find that, yes indeed, our government has gotten it wrong a lot of times when it comes to this industry. Ron, why was Big West/Flying J allowed to purchase a business they could not run? Why put one small sized company in a position where they can be leveraged out at a moment's notice? I think the original divestment and mandated transfer to Shell was probably sound given the dynamics of the market at that time. What has happened, is that as you stated, Shell never wanted the refinery and could not make make a large enough profit on it to justify its ownership. But the problem is that the refinery is a critical cog in the flow process, and California relies on it to maintain an adequate level of supply, particularly for diesel. Closing it is not in anyone's best interest here, or anywhere in the state. During the 1990s the state lost one-third of all its refineries due to government malfeasance. The idea to formulate a better gasoline was a good one, but the method to get the results had disastrous consequences. Here's hoping the plant finds a white knight, and one who knows the business with deep pockets. Maybe Chevron is the answer, they certainly have enough property in this area.
posted by
ronmexico
on Jan 30, 2009 at 05:47 PM
So, can wefinally put to bed this idiotic notion that things have been deregulated, and that we need MORE regulation?? Ron, why was Big West/Flying J allowed to purchase a business they could not run? Because they had cash. That is how transactions are done. You got the cash, you get to buy things. Do you really want the government getting involved in who can buy assets and who cannot?? I sure don't. I don't want the government giving easy credit to people who have no business buying houses. That is what got us in this mess. As far as I know, Big West did not buy this refinery with credit, they bought it with cash.... I have a hard time seeing someone buy this plant. It simply is not efficient. The enviromental regulations on the horizon (new NOX rules and greenhouse gas emissions) make this place a money pit. Big companies would rather incrementally expand their large facilitiies than sink money in a refinery that is not big enough to benefit from economies of scale, and too big to be a niche refinery..... posted by
adampayne
on Jan 30, 2009 at 09:06 PM
You always need a sheriff make sure the foxes don't get all the chickens. That's why But, thanks much for a lot of your commentary and analysis. Where would you dredge the river to for port access?
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