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axiomtek - > LIBERTY OR DEATH -> Economic Facts & Fallacies
Economic Facts & Fallacies
1. PROVING THE CLAIM
TAXES REDUCE INCENTIVES

1.    The primary incentive to do X is money.
2.    If the amount of money increases then the incentive increases.
3.    If the amount of money is decreased then the incentive decreases.
4.    Therefore the amount of money offered corresponds to the incentive.
 

 Example in practice 


Imagine I offer you $100 to mow my lawn. You mow my lawn. Imagine I offer you $200 the next day to mow my lawn. Would your incentive to mow my lawn increase? Would you be willing to sacrifice more perhaps? (Not go to the movies for example). Imagine I offer you $20. Would your incentive to mow my lawn decrease?

This seems like a trivial and almost obvious point. The answer to all those questions is yes. In a way it's simply describing supply and demand. Of course if all things obviously true were believed, I would not need to write such things as this.

If you accept the premises above and answered yes to the questions in the thought experiment, then it's fair to say that we've established the amount of money offered corresponds to the incentive to do X.

Tax - A charge against a citizen's person or property or activity for the support of government. 

A tax basically is forced 'fee' or 'charge' on something. If I were to pay a 50% tax on $100, I would be left with $50. Taxation therefore reduces the value of whatever is being taxed. 

Example in practice

Imagine I offer you $100 to mow my lawn.  You mow my lawn. Now imagine I offer you $100 to mow my lawn, and the government recently imposed a tax on mowing lawns, the tax is set to 50%. I offer you $100, but you only receive $50. Would you incentive to mow my lawn change? 

Again, all of this is quite obvious. The answer is yes. Economically, there's no difference to you whether or not he offers you $100 or $200, what you will actually receive matters. By the same reasoning, economically it makes no difference to the man how much you get, what he actually pays matters. 

If you accept the premises above and answered yes to the questions in the thought experiment, then it's fair to say that we've established if the amount of money offered corresponds to the incentive to do X, and if taxation results in the amount of money being offered always being lower, then it's reasonable to conclude that

taxes always reduce the incentive to do X 

In summery 

5.    The primary incentive to do X is money.
6.    If the amount of money increases then the incentive increases. 
7.    If the amount of money is decreased then the incentive decreases. 
8.    A tax always reduces the amount of money offered to do X 
9.    Therefore taxes always reduce the incentive to do X 

The implication of this simple principle is that when someone offers to tax a good or service, he is by consequence reducing people's incentive to do that service or consume that good. 

When all of this is realized, it becomes very interesting to consider how our tax system is levied. Here are some commonly held ideas

1.    Tax the "rich"
2.    Tax businesses that employ people.
3.    Tax large oil companies with windfall profits tax (95% tax after a set amount)
4.    Tax capital gains (investment)
5.    Tax death

What's even more bizzar is many are in favor of having very high taxes on corporations, and very wealthy people and families. Barack Obama for example is in favor of taxes as high as 39% on individuals making $200k or more, and a family making $250k or more. Now I think it's reasonable to say that in general those who are earning such a high amount are the most productive in the sense that their services or labor is in such high demand. It's also reasonable to assume that in general those who earn such a high amount are the most responsible for employing people. Given those facts it seems odd to reduce people's incentive to remaining productive in the same ways.

Consider Obama's desire to raise the capital gains tax. Obama's was asked about this during a democratic presidential debate with Hillary Clinton. 

GIBSON: All right. You have, however, said you would favor an increase in the capital gains tax. As a matter of fact, you said on CNBC, and I quote, "I certainly would not go above what existed under Bill Clinton," which was 28 percent. It's now 15 percent. That's almost a doubling, if you went to 28 percent.

But actually, Bill Clinton, in 1997, signed legislation that dropped the capital gains tax to 20 percent.

OBAMA: Right.
GIBSON: And George Bush has taken it down to 15 percent.
OBAMA: Right.
GIBSON: And in each instance, when the rate dropped, revenues from the tax increased; the government took in more money. And in the 1980s, when the tax was increased to 28 percent, the revenues went down.
So why raise it at all, especially given the fact that 100 million people in this country own stock and would be affected?
OBAMA: Well, Charlie, what I've said is that I would look at raising the capital gains tax for purposes of fairness.  

Obama has since considered lowering that figure to 20%, probably due all of the heat he's received from it. In either case, when we consider the principles being discussed this idea seems counter productive. From what I understand, capital gains are gains earned from when a stock is sold. The result of the tax will be a decrease in the incentive to invest, or at the very least invest in risky stocks (stocks of those who are probably just starting out).


2. REFUTING THE CLAIM "CHEAP LABOR HURTS THE US"
Technology Analogy


Imagine there's a manufacturer of toothpaste who currently has 100 people working for him manually putting together the paste & tubes they go into. His current rate of production is say 5,000 tubes of toothpaste a day, his production costs per tube is $10, and he sells them for $15.

Thousands of people every month buy his toothpaste.

Now imagine this man meets an engineer and they discuss business. The engineer talks about inventing a machine that may assist him in his toothpaste business.

 Time goes by and the machine is finished. This manufacturer can now produce 50,000 tubes a day at the cost of $1 per tube. Not only does this equate to 10x the amount of production at 1/10th the cost, but the machine can easily be maintained with 10 people.

The manufacturer lays off all 90 of the least productive or needed employees and begins training the remaining 10 how to use the machine and then doubles their pay.
 
He now can not only provide 10x the amount of toothpaste but now sells it at $2, saving it's customers on average $300 a year.
 

Is this a good or bad thing? This in summary is the essence of technology. Technology allows human beings to do more things at lower costs. This is undoubtedly a good thing, and could even be said to be the best thing that could ever happen to humanity since it allows us to produce more of what we want and need with less work.

Now let's say this machine was in a different state from the manufacturer. Is this bad? Let's say the machine was in another country. Is it any less good? Now let's say it's not a machine but 1000 workers. Is it now bad?

To those who would say that free trade harms the US or the other country economically is now in a very absurd position, since economically speaking there's no difference between a machine & a person, if the costs and production speed are the same, and there's obviously no logical reason why the distance between the machine and the manufacturer would make this any less good, yet this is exactly what free trade opponents are saying.

It is undoubtedly true that 90 people lost their jobs. Many people who were in the horse & buggy industry lost their jobs when the automobile became less expensive and more people exploited its benefits. Many in the type writer industry lost their jobs with the advent of the personal computer. Yet, all of these changes are good things that have increased the standard of living for everyone.



3. REFUTING THE CLAIM
"NON-MONETARY TRADE DOES NOT INVOLVE PROFIT"
 

Non-monetary profit 

When defending economic freedom, or as some call capitalism, I'm often confronted with the notion that non-monetary trades are not "for profit" but are done because the trade is "fair" or "more fair" then a trade or transaction done for profit. 

For example, in discussion with a member of the Socialist Labor Party‎ a part of the conversation on profit, trade, and labor went something like this.


Socialist: The capitalist employer steals the 'true' value of a workers labor by profit. A worker's labor may produce 10 chairs a day but his wage can only buy him 4 chairs. Therefore the workers true labor is 'really' 10 chairs. The capitalist is therefore stealing his real labor for profit.

Me: Of course, if the employer paid the man more or equal to the amount of output there'd be no incentive to hire him. If a worker makes a business $1,000 richer by increasing production, you're not going to pay him $1,500. (I then blabbed about supply & demand etc) 

All right, what about if I trade you 2 chairs for your table, and there is no money involved, is that wrong?

Socialist: No. There is no profit involved. 

This idea is brought up in many different forms. The idea that a trade, if done with goods or services alone is not for "profit" 

The concept of profit of course is the idea that you gain more than you invested, or the idea that you receive/benefit more than you put in. In monetary terms this is when you buy a good at $1 and sell it for $1.50, making a 50cent profit. Of course, we also speak of profit in terms of gaining in any sense. You could say that many profit from education, since what they get from an education is valued far greater than what was lost receiving it – time & energy. 

Let's take the case of the man who trades two chairs for one table. This is claimed to be a 'fair' trade not for profit. Why would anyone trade two chairs for a table? The man obviously values the table more than his chairs, and the man must also value the chairs more than his table. Here we have a situation where the objects have a value relative to each man. In each case the value of the good desired is higher than the good being traded for. 

Value is not an objective property but rather something that depends on the existence of minds to desire things. Oil has much more value than dog poop, and the reason has nothing to do with the essence of oil but the fact that it has a much higher demand for it – compared to dog poop. Imagine if tomorrow they discover that dog poop can be converted into something your car can run on – the value of dog poop would change. Its change is directly linked to its demand, which is the word used to described how much something is desired. So any notions of "real" value or "objective" value are false and based on a false concept of value. The term "real" value or "objective" value – in the sense that things have value independent minds/desires – is used time and time again in the discussions of economics, often by those trying to argue that profit or capitalism only works if people are suckered into buying something for more than its "real value." Those who argue this simply are clinging to false and emotionally driven intuitions about the concept of value, and simply have not thought it through. 

When this trade occurs, the result is that both men are now in possession of something that was deemed more valuable to them. Both men gained more than they lost – they profited. In the same way that someone makes a monetary profit by receiving more money than they put out.

Posted in the Politics interest group.
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posted by axiomtek on Tuesday, October 21, 2008 at 08:59 AM
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posted by ApolloDawn on Oct 21, 2008 at 09:32 AM

Did you write this yourself?  If you did, I like people who think things through on their own.

I would question the very first premise.  The primary incentive to do X is not necessarily for money.  It is to benefit one's self directly or indirectly.

Benefit to one's self can include one or more of: happiness, health, social relationships, pleasure.  The role of money in these is often optional and usually very flexible.

posted by catpaw on Oct 21, 2008 at 09:43 AM

 The free market's the best mechanism ever devised to put resources to their most efficient and productive use. The government isn't particularly good at that. But the market isn't so good at making sure that the wealth that's produced is being distributed fairly or wisely. Some of that wealth has to be plowed back into education, so that the next generation has a fair chance, and to maintain our infrastructure, and provide some sort of safety net for those who lose out in a market economy. And it just makes sense that those of us who've benefited most from the market should pay a bigger share.

When you get rid of the estate tax, you're basically handing over command of the country's resources to people who didn't earn it. It's like choosing the 2020 Olympic team by picking the children of all the winners at the 2000 Games. -- Warren Buffet

...the bulk of the debt is a direct result of the President's tax cuts, 47.4 percent of which went to the top 5 percent of the income bracket, 36.7 percent of which went to the top 1 percent, and 1.5 percent of which went to the top on-tenth of 1 percent, typically people making $1.6 million a year or more. -- Barack Obama

Trickle down does not work, has never worked, will never work.  Yet, Republicans take it as a leap of faith like religious fundamentalists accept creationism despite evidence to the contrary. Sorry, you're convoluted arguments are not arguments.

 

 

posted by ApolloDawn on Oct 21, 2008 at 09:57 AM

I think it has some valid points though the argument, as I see it, suffers from omissions and oversimplifications.

If he wants to come back and discuss it, I will go into more detail.  At this point, I'd welcome anyone who tries honestly to put a real idea forward instead of the pointless and unthinking mud fights that are the norm for political "debates."

posted by randomfactor on Oct 21, 2008 at 10:05 AM

One error in it is in the assumption that it's *ALWAYS* primarily about money.  People don't generally have children for the tax breaks, for example.  You're not typically going to get rich starting your own business.

There are other factors to consider in encouragement/inhibition.

posted by catpaw on Oct 21, 2008 at 10:28 AM

Well, using axiom's example, if I'm mowing his lawn for $100 and his neighbor's gardener is doing the same job for $90, I am likely to get canned and my competitor will get the job. The government loses $5 in taxes, the competitor doubles his income, and the big winner is the employer who gets $10 tax free for doing nothing. This is fine until axiom wonders why the pothole on his street is not repaired. The government is short $5 to maintain infrastructure.

posted by sagefever on Oct 21, 2008 at 10:28 AM

If I am pushing my mower to your house to mow your yard on a dirt road,and lets say for fun,that $50.00 tax paves said road ,my incentive to be a component of all this is high.

posted by sagefever on Oct 21, 2008 at 10:56 AM

ctpaw ~ we owe each other a coke.LOL


posted by axiomtek on Oct 21, 2008 at 01:50 PM

The free market's the best mechanism ever devised to put resources to their most efficient and productive use. The government isn't particularly good at that. But the market isn't so good at making sure that the wealth that's produced is being distributed fairly or wisely

 

I don’t know what this means, nor do I know what part of my blog this is in response to. I have no actually defined free market economics in my blog entry but rather refuted 3 common points made by some. To try and respond though, I’d point out that for every $1 earned a value greater than $1 must have been given to the consumer. So the business about wealth being distributed happens automatically under a free market through trade.

 

When you get rid of the estate tax, you're basically handing over command of the country's resources to people who didn't earn it. It's like choosing the 2020 Olympic team by picking the children of all the winners at the 2000 Games. -- Warren Buffet

 

I want to point out that I did not argue against the death tax, nor did I argue for any method of taxation so this comment seems to be irrelevant to my blog entry. However, theres a few things to say about this quote. First, the notion of “handing the countries resources” assumes that the country ‘owns’ the property at hand, and since the death tax involved private property is not owned (or should not be) by the government. So the idea of it being a ‘country’s resource’ is based on a false premise. Second, if you believe in freedom, you’re allowed to give your children or family food, gifts, money anything you like as long as its no forced.

 

Buffet’s point could be used to argue against allowing children live with their parents altogether since the child of wealthy parents will with a higher standard of living then a poor child – a stand of a living that child did not earn. If you were to use Buffet’s logic consistently we should install a ‘starting line’ program where each new born is put into the woods to build himself up to a productive citizen. Each of us are born into a world with the fruits of our ancestors without earning them.

 

The Olympics is a race where the purpose is to see who is the fastest. Our economic ‘system’ is not really for any purpose. I don’t see what his analogy is supposed to suggest.

 

...the bulk of the debt is a direct result of the President's tax cuts, 47.4 percent of which went to the top 5 percent of the income bracket, 36.7 percent of which went to the top 1 percent, and 1.5 percent of which went to the top on-tenth of 1 percent, typically people making $1.6 million a year or more. -- Barack Obama

 

I want to point out that I did not argue for Bush’s tax policies, nor did I argue for any method of taxation so this comment seems to be irrelevant to my blog entry. Obama is partly wrong since you can’t have debt without spending. Second, it’s false to suggest that when taxes are cut that less revenue will result – capital gains case & point.

 

Trickle down does not work, has never worked, will never work.  Yet, Republicans take it as a leap of faith like religious fundamentalists accept creationism despite evidence to the contrary. Sorry, you're convoluted arguments are not arguments.

 

I want to point out that I did not argue for ‘trickle down’ so this comment seems to be irrelevant to my blog entry. I also did not hear a single criticism of my entire blog in any of your comments. As far as the trickle down stuff, ill simply quote the economist Thomas Sowell in his book “Basic Economics”

 

   There have been many economic theories over the centuries, accompanied by controversies among different schools of economists. But one of the most politically prominent economic theories today is one that has never existed among economists-the "trickle down" theory.2 People who are politically committed to policies of redistributing income and who tend to emphasize the conflicts between business and labor, rather than their mutual interdependence, often accuse those opposed to them of believing that benefits must be given to the wealthy in general or to business in particular, in order that these benefits will eventually "trickle down" to the masses of ordinary people. But no recognized economist of any school of thought has ever had any such theory or made any such proposal. It is a straw man. It cannot be found in even the most voluminous and learned histories of economic theories.

   Proposals to reduce taxes on capital gains, for example, are often opposed politically by saying that those who make such proposals believe in a "trickle down" theory of economics. In reality, economic processes work in the directly opposite way from that depicted by those who imagine that profits first benefit business owners and that benefits only belatedly trickle down to workers.

   'A writer in India refers to those promoting a change from government planning to a freer market as people who have "blind faith in the 'trickle-down' theory of distributing the benefits of economic growth among different socio-economic groups in the country." But free market economics is not about "distributing" anything to anybody. It is about letting people earn whatever they can from voluntary transactions with other people.

   When an investment is made, whether to build a railroad or to open a new restaurant, the first money is spent hiring people to do the work. Without that, nothing happens. Even when one person decides to operate a store or hamburger stand without employees, that person must first pay somebody to deliver the goods that are going to be sold. Money goes out first to pay expenses and then comes back as profits later-if at all. The high rate of failure of new businesses makes painfully clear that there is nothing inevitable about the money coming back.

   Even with successful and well-established businesses, years may elapse between the initial investment and the return of earnings. From the time when an oil company begins spending money to explore for petroleum to the time when the first gasoline resulting from that exploration comes out of a pump at a filling station, a decade may have passed. In the meantime, all sorts of employees have been paid-geologists, engineers, refinery workers, truck drivers. It is only afterwards that profits begin coming in. Only then are there any capital gains to tax. The real effect of a reduction in the capital gains tax is that it opens the prospect of greater future net profits and thereby provides incentives to make current investments.

   Nor is the oil industry unique. No one who begins publishing a newspaper expects to make a profit-or even break even-during the first year or two. But reporters and other members of the newspaper staff expect to be paid every payday, even while the paper shows only red ink on the bottom line.

   Amazon.com began operating in 1994 but its first profits did not appear until the last quarter of 2001, after the company lost a total of $2.8 billion over the years. Even a phenomenally successful enterprise like the McDonald's restaurant chain ran up millions of dollars in debts for years before it saw the first dollar of profit. Indeed, it teetered on the brink of bankruptcy more than once in its early years. But the people behind the counter selling hamburgers were paid regularly all that time.

   In short, the sequence of payments is directly the opposite of what is assumed by those who talk about a "trickle-down" theory. The workers must be paid first and then the profits flow upward later-if at all.

 

posted by catpaw on Oct 21, 2008 at 04:37 PM

Rather than paraphrase from my recollection, I included the quotes for the sake of veracity.

Under the first item of your lengthy blog, you referred to five aspects of taxation as "bizzare." Not taxing profits would make sense if the people integral to the production of that wealth shared in it, say in the form of a bonus or raise. This would relate to the wage incentive. But that doesn't happen. The wealth becomes concentrated by a relative few. Were it otherwise, the government needn't mandate a minimum wage. 

True, capital outlay must proceed any business endevor. By all means, investors should not be begrudged rewards for their risk. But there is a difference between capital and profit. Wealth generated by profits from wealth at hand is not the same as capital outlay starting a business from scratch. Nor would McD's have been allowed to run up a debt of millions had there been no reasonable expectation of profits.

If I may refer to your lawn mower example, if you replaced the $90 gardener with one charging $80, the government would lose another $5 in taxes, the gardener would increase his income at a lesser rate, the employer would double his tax free income from $10 to $20; an increase of 100% by doing nothing. Meanwhile, the pothole on your street remains unrepaired (and gets worse) because there's a shortfall of $10 in revenue.

Now, if you argue that's your $20 you earned it, and if the tax man takes 50% of it, you will have to fire the gardner because you can't afford to pay him, the tax man may relent and figure the $20 will trickle down to the gardner and help the economy. You may instead stuff the $20 under your mattress and look for a gardner who charges $70.

So, two gardeners are out of a job. That's competetion. One gardner is working for 20% less than the first gardner. The employer has increased his tax free wealth by $20. And no doubt is calling the municipal road fixers and telling them to get out here and fix the pothole.

posted by catpaw on Oct 21, 2008 at 04:50 PM

Incidently, at the last debate Tom Brokaw asked both candidates who they would hire as Sec. of the Treasury. McCain suggested Warren Buffet. Obama answered Warren Buffet would be considered. Who would you hire?

posted by randomfactor on Oct 21, 2008 at 05:02 PM

I'd hire Paul Krugman, if he'd have the job.  And try to coax  Paul Volcker back at least as an advisor to the Fed Chairman.

posted by axiomtek on Oct 21, 2008 at 06:34 PM

 

Under the first item of your lengthy blog, you referred to five aspects of taxation as "bizzare." Not taxing profits would make sense if the people integral to the production of that wealth shared in it, say in the form of a bonus or raise. This would relate to the wage incentive. But that doesn't happen. The wealth becomes concentrated by a relative few. Were it otherwise, the government needn't mandate a minimum wage. 

 

Payment is determined by the two parties, you don’t pay someone more simply because you made more profit, you pay them more if their skill/productivity is worth more. By the same token, you don’t pay more for food just because you have more money, the price of the apple is determined by the value of the apple.

 

 

If I may refer to your lawn mower example, if you replaced the $90 gardener with one charging $80, the government would lose another $5 in taxes, the gardener would increase his income at a lesser rate, the employer would double his tax free income from $10 to $20; an increase of 100% by doing nothing. Meanwhile, the pothole on your street remains unrepaired (and gets worse) because there's a shortfall of $10 in revenue.

Now, if you argue that's your $20 you earned it, and if the tax man takes 50% of it, you will have to fire the gardner because you can't afford to pay him, the tax man may relent and figure the $20 will trickle down to the gardner and help the economy. You may instead stuff the $20 under your mattress and look for a gardner who charges $70.

So, two gardeners are out of a job. That's competetion. One gardner is working for 20% less than the first gardner. The employer has increased his tax free wealth by $20. And no doubt is calling the municipal road fixers and telling them to get out here and fix the pothole.

 

I don’t understand what you’re trying to argue. What is the point of this?

 

posted by catpaw on Oct 22, 2008 at 08:30 AM

Well, the point is wealth--money if you will--goes somewhere. If it is accumulated by a few then obviously wealth is under the control of a few and the economy is not quite the free market that promotes the circulation of that wealth. "Spreading the wealth" whether by breaking up a monopoly, making price fixing unlawful, denying tax breaks, or increasing taxation is a balancing act. Right now, I'd guess the economy is out of balance somewhere. (On network news, ABC I think, says the SEC is under scrutiny for promoting a "permissive" and misleading environment on Wall Street--not doing their job, in other words, when it should have been applying a brake.)

I don't mean to vilify corporate conglomerates or knowledgeable, shrewed investors. But when I see a talking head in the form of a CEO who has raked in tens on millions while his company goes down the toilet blame the middle class for "overextending credit" and "living beyond their means," yeah, I get offended. He's including fixed incomes and minimum-wage single moms, and I conclude it's time to "spread the wealth."

I will conclude my opinions on this subject by saying I was under the impression that your blog was one of those cut-and-paste jobs that you may have arbitrarily posted. You have my apology for jumping to that conclusion. If my posts seem off-topic and not related to your post, I was simply pointing out that there are more factors of the economy than the ones you stated. Given the state of affairs, I am not so naive as to think anything will be rectified soon. However, Obama's and Buffet's philosophical views of the economy are a step in the right direction--which is what the on-going election is about: which direction the country takes.

posted by ApolloDawn on Oct 22, 2008 at 08:44 AM

Axiom, I also thought that you were arguing in favor of this position, rather than just putting it out here.  When you denied doing so, I decided not to comment further.

My point, and that of some other people, was that incentive is more complex than that, and that there actually is an incentive to pay taxes, once you consider where taxes are (or should be) put to use.

 

posted by jfrancais on Oct 22, 2008 at 08:45 AM

The whole idea of taxation is to "spread the wealth". Obama didn't create the idea. Alaska has a nice annual program of "spreading the wealth" to Alaskan residents on state owned stocks in oil companies.

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