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If Ralph Bailey has another show about Carter and Race. Those who oppose health reform. Your all on your own. If your holding onto your High Dollar petro stocks. You want to read this. Nancy, The hypocrisy is overwhelming. Nancy, Threatening to block someone does not work. Sex Those who oppose health reform. Your all on your own. A strange Wednesday night Okay, Let’s agree not to continue to Blame Jr. Laura Bush praises Obama, bemoans excessive partisanship September 06 October 06 November 06 December 06 January 07 February 07 March 07 April 07 May 07 June 07 July 07 August 07 September 07 October 07 November 07 December 07 January 08 February 08 March 08 April 08 May 08 June 08 July 08 August 08 September 08 October 08 November 08 December 08 January 09 February 09 March 09 April 09 May 09 June 09 July 09 August 09 September 09 October 09 November 09 "Ideas are more dangerous than guns. We don't let our people have guns. Why should we let them have ideas?" --Josef Stalin
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A point of discussion for your next happy Hour. :>)
A point of discussion for your next Happy Hour. :>)
If asked the proper question. There is not one mortgage or bank Exec. That will say that codes and regulations forced them to make a single loan. Because there were no codes or regulations that forced banks to make loans.
If bank exec. Are asked the proper questions. They will admit it was the liar loans that are the loans that have created the biggest foreclosure problem. Because it is the liar loan that was given to the person who had no verifiable income. There are no regulations that justified liar loans. Liar loans were invented by the bank exec. So they could get the upper hand on the competition. It was greed. The desire for unjustified profit that drove these liar loans. Nothing else. It just so happens that liar loans were usually combined with the adjustable and other loans. It was the liar loan though, that made up the majority of sub prime loans.
Capitalism in America has always supposed to work as follows.
A company enters into a transaction at it's own risk. No regulation forces anyone to make a loan. In fact no regulation forces anyone to maintain a business. Someone offers a product. Someone makes a offer. And a contract is enforced.
Bank and mortgage exec. Continually made business decisions meant to undercut the competition. The product was never a consideration. Only the transaction mattered. Make the deal. Collect the fees for processing the transaction and resell the product. Wash your hands clean of the product. (mortgage).
We will never get out of this depression unless This financial mess is cleaned up. Beginning with the commodities market.
If not for the unjustified run up in commodities. We would not be in the depression we are in today. It eventually would have come about. But not as soon as it did. And not as bad a bubble burst. And the delay could have allowed time to formulate a plan to save the housing industry.
But $147 dollar crude forced the depression. It hog tied even the honest home buyer. It forced even the honest American to pull back on their spending. This killed business. And it was the businessmen who was most heavily invested in the liar loans. They no longer had to produce 2 years of tax returns to get a mortgage. They had been lying on their returns for decades. Now they just made up numbers that didn't even need to be verified by a return. The ditch digger. The Laborer and the like didn't have the clout with the exec to get a liar loan. Unless of course they were recruited by an unscrupulous Real Estate agent to enter into fraudulent flipping schemes.
The commodities market must be changed. At this time they are allowed to buy and sell contracts. Never having the ability to accept delivery of a product. Only requirement is that they have the cash to make a 1/7 payment on say a 1000 barrel crude contract. In other words at $100/barrel. A person only needs about 13 grand to tie up 1000 barrels of crude. Even if he doesn't own a bucket.
THAT IS NOT SUPPLY AND DEMAND.
Adam Smith Capitalism demands regulations and regulators. Anyone who says different knows nothing of Capitalism. They may have a idea for a personal road to selfishness . But Not the wealth of nations. And the Wealth of Nations is the building block that Capitalism was established.
There are billions of barrels of crude parked in the ocean with no where to go. There is no demand for crude. The supply of crude is far superior to the near future demand requirements. Yet the speculator is allowed to hoard CONTRACTS forcing up the price of the Nations survival.
We hear there is a cut back in production. That production will eventually not keep up with demand so the price must go up. But that is a lie. Cutting back in production. Only increases reserve capacity. It doesn't create a shortage.
OPEC knows this. It has been screaming it out so the world could hear. But the financial kings have been able to prevent change.
Commodities rules for all commodities must be changed so that a commodity has to be physically received. Before it can be resold. And it must be received at a location that is near the purchasers place of business. Not a rented cargo ship or tanker. The commodity must be loaded on a mode of transportation. Transported to another location, off loaded and stored in a permanent facility before it can be resold.
If rules such as these are not enforced. The price of crude and commodities will destroy any recovery that may come from the current programs placed in effect this year. They will suck every bit of cash made available by the current programs, out of the wealth of Nations. Into their own greedy little fingers.
Adam Smith, the father of American Capitalism. Demands that the Villager must take care of the Farmer. And the Farmer must take care of the villager.
He says there must be a inheritance tax. Or a nation will revert to a nation of paupers and princes.
He demands that there be a redistribution of wealth. If not. One man will eventually own all the wealth. And that is not capitalism.
He insists on a progressive income tax. One that requires that a person pays tax in accordance to his benefit from society.
He insists on regulation and regulators. Explaining that outside the law. In the midst of criminality. Capitalism will always fail.
And just imagine if you presented Adam Smiths. “Wealth of Nations” to Rush Limbaugh.
He would surely denounce it as socialism.
If only because it does not support his own selfishness.
Read the 'Wealth of Nations'. Then explain to me the parts of the Republican platform that supports Capitalism. The wealth of Nations is on line at:
http://www.online-literatur... No Nation operates under a pure form of Democracy. And Capitalism is not a form of Government. It is model for the 'Wealth of Nations". Not the wealth of Gary. 11 comments from 4 users
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posted by
rwestfall
on May 31, 2009 at 09:09 AM
He demands that there be a redistribution of wealth. If not. One man will eventually own all the wealth. And that is not Capitalism. Why would any of us work then? You make your own bed if you want to sleep in straw that is your choice or if you want satin that too is your choice. You get what you put into it. There is not one mortgage or bank Exec. That will say that codes and regulations forced them to make a single loan. Because there were no codes or regulations that forced banks to make loans. A lot of what you've said reminds me of Statistism not capitalism. What is statism? Under statism, government is no longer a policeman, but a gang of thugs with the legal power to initiate force in any manner they please against a legally disarmed citizen. What are some examples of statism? Variants of statism include: socialism, nazism (national socialism), theocracy, [pure] democracy, communism, fascism, tribalism, etc.
In form many of these systems differ, in theory and blood stained practice they all unite upon the same fundamental collectivist ethical principle: man is not an end to himself, but is only a tool to serve the ends of others. Whether those "others" are a dictator's gang, the nation, society, the race, (the) god(s), the majority, the community, the tribe, etc., is irrelevant -- the point is that man in principle must be sacrificed to others.
The opposite of statism is capitalism.
Only capitalism declares that each and every man, may live his own life for his own happiness, as an end to himself, not by permission of others, but by right, and that government's sole responsibility is to protect those rights, and never violate them, because they are inalienable.
posted by
tkozy
on May 31, 2009 at 09:58 AM
Rwest:
Why would any of us work then?
Tk says:
Work outside of society may bring selfish pleasure. But it will not bring wealth. Wealth is a product of society. There is no self made man within the designs of Capitalism. We work to promote the, 'Wealth of Nations'. That is the definition of Capitalism.
Rwest: You may want to look up Community Reinvestment Act
TK says:
Not one exec had to make a loan under the Re investment act. The reality is that not one exec had to make any mortgage loan. Any loan period. No one was forced to maintain a business. To loan under the terms of the Community Reinvestment Act. Was an endorsement of the act itself. No one can blame a business model/ regulation for his failure. When the business model was the basis for your products future. Execs made bad loans. Loans that would have failed under any regulation. These loans were doubly troubling when combined with the liar loan.
Rwest: A lot of what you've said reminds me of Statistism not capitalism.
TK says.
I warned you in my first post that one should not confuse Capitalism with government.
Our government/Democracy guarantees the RIGHTS THAT YOU MENTION. Not capitalism.
Rwest:
TK says:
Wrong! They differ because Capitalism is absolutely NOT government period. Capitalism is a economic model. PERIOD.
And according to Capitalism. Capitalism will always fail in the midst of criminality.
Capitalism MUST exist within a lawful Society. A lawful society only exists in a society that is maintained by a government that justly enforces regulation imposed by the society itself.
The wealth of nations relies on it's regulators and regulations. Period posted by
donmason
on May 31, 2009 at 02:57 PM
The breathtaking fall in world crude oil prices is over, but not without temporary benefit to the western economies.
A windfall savings of 1.6 trillion dollars since July has exceeded all the fiscal stimulus programs of the US, the UK, and Western Europe.
That windfall comes at a high future price, as almost 42% of oil projects worldwide for the purpose of enhanced recovery or new production have been deferred or canceled.
In mid-March, crude for immediate delivery traded at $45 a barrel, while the futures market priced oil for delivery in 2012 at $63. Since then, the entire futures curve has shunted upwards. The oil market isn't only in "contango" – that is, future prices are above those today. The contango now exists across a range of prices which have all surged some 50pc in eight weeks.
Futures aren’t just for speculation. The wiser management of big energy users, such as airlines and trucking firms, purchase futures and options as insurance against price spikes, and to moderate energy purchase price demands long term.
Oil traders are now realizing "demand destruction" arguments have been overdone.
Across the big emerging markets, now accounting for around half of the world's total oil use, consumption is still rising fast, despite the credit crisis.
The global population continues to escalate – and in the most populous countries per capita, oil use is growing faster still. Even in the Western world, the fall in demand has now bottomed out and oil use is growing once more.
But the real cause for concern is the supply side. Amid a lack of finance, large crude exporters such as Saudi Arabia, UAE and Russia have indeed put major drilling projects "under review".
The number of oil and natural gas rigs operating around the world dropped 11pc in April alone. Having fallen for seven months in a row, this "rig count" is now down 42pc since September as energy companies' credit lines have been cut.
On top of that, global oil markets are growing ever more concerned at mounting evidence the world's largest fields are now seriously depleting.
These developments are setting up a "vertical supply curve" – where, as the global economy recovers, just a small demand increase will cause a shocking price jump.
Having said all that, even these fundamentals have been out-gunned in recent weeks by more important trends. On Friday, the dollar index – which compares the greenback to a basket of the world's major currencies – hit a new 2009 low. The index is now down more than 5% this month, one of its steepest falls in 25 years.
As the US currency drops, oil prices rise – not least because crude is priced in dollars. At the same time, the weakness of America's economy means the dollar's "safe haven" status is being questioned.
All this is spooking sophisticated global investors. They worry about future inflation and the debasing of the world's major currencies. That's why they're buying oil and other commodities – as a new safe haven and an anti-inflation hedge. It's no coincidence the decisive shift in the oil futures curve has coincided with the onset of "quantitative easing".
Fractional purchase futures trading can’t be eliminated in the oil market. The market is international, with multiple trading centers, each within a separate nation state.
The belief in the “Full Faith and Credit” of US government , in the ever increasing issuance of debt is folly. As ever more debt is created, capital flight to any tangible assets of value insures a massive run up in commodity prices. If the value of the Dollar continued to fall, similar to the value loss of the last 30 days, for one year, imported crude prices would rise by 35% just to cover the currency devaluation. There’s no such thing as free money.
Add in chronic tight supply, and chronic unstable price volatility is guaranteed .
This whipsaw effect, and the resulting damage to long term stability, will destroy the financial system as we now know it. Only the actual time frame is debatable. posted by
tkozy
on May 31, 2009 at 08:08 PM
Don,
Demand destruction overdone. Please!!!!!
There was never the demand inspired by the speculator. It was all a farce. Supply levels in March 2008. Exceeded levels in March 2009. Yet prices were double in 2008 over 2009.
It was a game designed to inspire the peak oil farce.
The speculator has operated under propaganda. Not facts.
The IEA and EIA reports on crude stocks do not include the billions of barrels of crude stored off shore in tankers. Complete disregard is given to the fact that China is stockpiling huge strategic reserves. There is not only a lack of storage capability in the USA. It has grown world wide, with projections of an absolute loss of future storage capacity within 6 to 8 Weeks. This will force a massive shut down of production. And it will force unimaginable price losses on Crude stored at Cushing. Almost all Crude contracts are purchased on the margin. They can not be held for indefinite periods. The speculator is trying hope upon hope to draw in the uniformed so they can unload their 100 plus dollar contracts on the ignorant and uniformed new investor. Americans will not be heading out on holiday in any significant numbers. California leads the American economy. Step out onto any California street. Then bring me back your report on American enthusiasm and vigor.
Stockpiles of crude will grow to such levels that it will be near valueless even in the face of a devalued dollar. (True production costs will exceed value) The dollar will eventual turn. If not, Wall street declines to unheard of lows. And the economy will not recover for at least 6 months after wall street turns to the good on a steady upward rebound. For heaven sake invest in wall street and drive America onto new heights. Don't speculate in commodities and drag America down.
posted by
tkozy
on May 31, 2009 at 08:17 PM
Don,
Let's list facts that I have stated previously.
TK continues:
Non conventional resources such as the BAKKEN can be profitable at 40 bucks per barrel and will return to the drilling boom of the 08 at 70/barrel.
A discussion that connects resource availability with production is dishonest. The resources are there beyond the imagination of most Americans. It is the dedication to extract those resource that is limited.
Combining the huge resources of crude with the reality of alternative energy that is available today. Such as Hydrogen. America has a future in energy leadership of the future.
Transforming America to a Alternative energy nation. And exporting crude to less wise nations.
The dinosaurs need to get out of crude and into Alternative energy, or face extinction.
posted by
ronmexico
on May 31, 2009 at 08:28 PM
posted by
tkozy
on May 31, 2009 at 08:36 PM
Don said:
A windfall savings of 1.6 trillion dollars
TK says.
If I am illegally charged a horrendous price for a product.
Then the price is reduced without giving me back the money that was originally illegally taken from me.
I have a difficult time imagining any sort of savings.
The fact that the price was returned to a legitimate level. Does not bring back the money already hauled off in the cart.
I am still suffering the 1.6 trillion dollar loss.
I am just not suffering further loses. And that can hardly be described as a savings. Let alone a windfall savings. posted by
tkozy
on May 31, 2009 at 08:52 PM
Mexico,
So you intentionally chose to avoid the facts.
Wealth does not exist outside of society. Your wealth will be in proportion to the wealth of nations. No matter the economy you chose to live under.
You work for the betterment of society which in turn benefits you.. That may include sharing the cost of imprisoning the criminal. And it may include sharing the cost of cleaning the streets of the dead incompetent. You may have to help in feeding the orphaned.
You may also have to share the burden imposed by the lazy on society.
There is even a cost within the most tyrannical government to execute those that refuse to work. You will be expected to share in those costs. The executioner works at a premium.
Those are the realities of all societies. Of all governments. Of all economic models.
Of course there are those who can not bare the burden of reality. It depresses them to imagine cooperation. Imagining a working society in which the villager provides for the farmer and the farmer provides for the villager. Drives them near to insanity.
Mexico, the likes of you toss about the word capitalism with out regard to it's truths.
Please Mexico. Espouse any economic model that you wish. But don't invent a means to grow your selfishness. And then call it capitalism posted by
donmason
on Jun 1, 2009 at 10:20 AM
The oil production complex is international in scope, and not controlled by any single entity.
If this was true, prices would have remained stable within a narrow range. Long term business plans would have remained on track.
Although present domestic reserve storage is still at record levels, supply has been declining for the last two months, and will continue the downtrend going forward.
Present pricing trends are still extremely volatile, and we could see yet another short term price drop before the next rise.
stockpiles of crude will grow to such levels that it will be near valueless even in the face of a devalued dollar. (True production costs will exceed value) The dollar will eventual turn. If not, Wall street declines to unheard of lows. And the economy will not recover for at least 6 months after wall street turns to the good on a steady upward rebound. For heaven sake invest in wall street and drive America onto new heights. Don't speculate in commodities and drag America down.
Yeah, right. The Dollar is toast, and will continue to devalue at ever increasing rates, just as it has done long term since 1971. The dollar will turn? Reread your Adam Smith. A national debt is the poison that destroys the financial system. The Wealth of our Nation was squandered years before it was earned. The nation is bankrupt.
The DOW will never recover to previous highs in constant dollars. Resource and energy shortages will strangle creation of new, real capital, on which the DOW values are ultimately based. In constant dollars , the DOW never regained it’s 2000 peak.
Investing in Wall Street, which is a rigged game, is for fools. I guess you haven’t watched as those that did have lost a third of their wealth in the last year. Yeah, wise move.
In an economy based on debt created fiat currency, the only solid assets are commodities, and real money has always been backed by real commodities, with gold being the most common.
Commodities are the last refuge to preserve savings in the face of monetary devaluation (inflation).
Those of us that work for a living have nowhere else to turn.
And of course, if citizens don’t like the high price of gasoline, there’s an easy solution...buy less of it.
posted by
tkozy
on Jun 1, 2009 at 01:34 PM
Don,
You are ignoring the facts.
Not only is there a record USA supply of crude. There is a world wide record supply of crude. China has been stockpiling cheap crude in it's strategic reserve for months. Tankers are full. Billions of barrels worth. You can't just say these excess reserves don't count. And make it so. Projections are for a world wide lack of future storage, within 6 to 8 weeks. We haven't run refineries at over 85% in years.
Your trying to sell crude. Your not buying. Your trying to entice others to take your crap off of your hands. Good luck. But it better happen in less than 8 weeks or even you will be toast. You will be stuck in a 40 buck per barrel world. Holding 100/barrel crude.
Gold huh? Let see. Gold was 900/oz in the 80's. Where is it now? Wheat, milk,cows, pigs.. They bounce like a ball. Sure if you have play money and want to day trade. There's money to be had. But that is selfishness. There is no patriotism in creating misery for your fellow citizens. Do you think it is honorable to suffer your returning vets with 5 dollar/gallon milk. And 4 dollars/ loaf bread? Troopers died for you and your family. And you hope to squander this gift, so that you can be a day trader. You find righteousness in burying their future in a financial hole. Playing with commodities as if they are your personal toy. Not buying on the basis of facts.
The dollar has gone up and down in the past few months. It will be back up in just a few .
Just as you said. The reduction in crude price has created a new world as far as foreign trade. Trillions of dollars of cash are no longer being shipped overseas.
That will have a greater effect on the value of the dollar than any other near term item. The Middle East is spending their reserve dollars at incredible rates.
As far as reducing the use of gasoline. That has been the American trend for more than 2 years. We are actually using gasoline today at the equivalent t level as in 1981. Travel in the world is now rivaling the horrific post 911 world. The bottom has fallen out.
China will be building alternative energy vehicles not only for themselves But for sale in the USA.
It's a new alternative energy world. Wake up Don!
posted by
tkozy
on Jul 5, 2009 at 12:17 AM
"We have oil supplies at a 20-year high at a time when demand is falling at the fastest pace on record," said Cordier. Based on supply and demand, oil should likely still be hovering closer to the yearly low around $33 a barrel, he said.
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